| Elements
of Sampling: The Population, the Frame, and the Sampling
Unit
By
Neal B. Hitzig
Audit
sampling is slowly returning as the basis for the most rigorous
test procedure available to an auditor. Yet, after more than
a decade of decline and neglect of audit sampling (especially
statistical sampling) in favor of heavy reliance on controls
and analytical procedures, there is a critical need to reeducate
auditors in the basics of sampling. The
Auditing Standards Board’s (ASB) “Approved Highlights”
from its April 8–9, 2003, conference call meeting
recommended that SAS No. 39, Audit Sampling, be
revised to clarify whether the auditor should consider a
sample customer as consisting of:
-
The balance in accounts receivable for that particular
customer, or
-
All of the individual invoices that comprise the customer’s
balance.
In
making this recommendation, the ASB members demonstrated
the broad ignorance of some of the most basic elements of
sampling procedures that has resulted from the lack of professional
training. In contrast, during the 1970s and ’80s all
of the large firms conducted week-long seminars in statistical
sampling for their audit staffs. Similar programs were available
through the AICPA, state societies, universities, and other
providers. Those seminars no longer exist. This article
provides some of the basics of statistical sampling for
auditors.
SAS
39 requires that “sample items should be selected
in such a way that the sample can be expected to be representative
of the population.” In
order to properly apply this requirement, an auditor must
understand what is meant by the terms population, frame,
and sampling unit. If an auditor understands these terms
and how they relate to a test of details of an account or
a class of transactions, the auditor can properly execute
an audit test of details and draw valid, defensible conclusions.
The
Population and the Frame
The
population is the set of all accounts or transactions about
which an auditor wishes to draw a conclusion. Defining the
population should follow immediately from defining the test
objective, and is not a complicated task for the auditor.
Nevertheless: “the auditor should determine that the
population from which he draws the sample is appropriate
for the specific audit objective” (AU 350.17). Although
AU 350 repeatedly refers to the “population”
when discussing sample planning and execution, it also states
that “the auditor should project … results of
the sample to the items from which the sample was
selected” (AU 319.26; emphasis added). The text does
not state that the results are to be projected to the population,
but to the items. The reason for this subtle distinction
is that auditors do not select a sample directly from the
population itself, but from a representation of the population.
That representation, known as the frame, provides the auditor
with a convenient basis for identifying items to be included
in a sample.
An
accounting population usually is represented in the form
of a list, such as the entries in a cash disbursements journal,
a sales journal, accounts receivable detail, or a payroll
file. The availability of a list or frame frequently simplifies
the sample selection process. The choice of a frame is often
based on convenience and accessibility. The most convenient
frames are often in the form of computer data files, which
lend themselves to the application of computer-assisted
audit techniques and data retrieval.
An
accounting population’s sampling frame need not be
a list. Physical locations provided by floor plans, or other
population identifiers, such as index cards, may also provide
suitable frames. Physical inventory is an example of an
accounting population for which the frame might consist
of the warehouse locations of inventory items.
Occasionally,
a sampling frame must be constructed by the auditor because
no convenient representation exists. For example, an auditor
may wish to select an audit sample from a population of
sales orders. The orders are grouped by date and by sales
location, and not by invoice or order number. The frame
might consist of days and sales locations. If the population
consists of 250 business days at 20 locations, the frame
would comprise 5,000 location-days.
To
rephrase AU 350.26 in light of the foregoing, “ …
the auditor should project … results of the sample
to the frame from which the sample was selected.”
A sample can be projected only to the frame from which it
was selected. The basis for that projection is the sampling
unit.
The
Sampling Unit
A population
is composed of elementary units that are clustered into
sampling units. The auditor’s choice of a frame leads
to a decision about the sampling unit. A sampling unit in
an audit application is the item that the auditor actually
subjects to examination, whether by inspection, observation,
or confirmation. The sampling unit is the item that is vouched
or traced.
Statistical
sampling procedures are extraordinarily flexible regarding
the auditor’s choice of sampling unit. If the total
recorded amount of the sampling units equals the total recorded
amount of the population under examination, no technical
issue exists regarding the validity of results, provided
that selection and evaluation are performed properly. In
substantive tests of details for which the auditor’s
objective is to draw a conclusion about a total monetary
amount, many auditors view a dollar (or other monetary unit)
as the population’s elementary unit, an especially
convenient viewpoint if the auditor is employing dollar-unit
sampling. Auditors should be aware, however, that the auditing
literature often mistakenly identifies the monetary unit
as the sampling unit. In fact, the monetary unit is the
elementary unit of such a population. The sampling unit
is the account or the transaction, which is selected with
probability proportional to its recorded amount.
The
ASB’s stated issue regarding a possible revision to
SAS 39 is basically a question about the choice of sampling
unit (incorrectly referred to as “sample customer”
in the cited meeting minutes). In an audit test involving
receivables, the sampling unit may be an account, an open
invoice, or even a line item on an invoice. The choice of
sampling unit—and it is a choice—depends on
considerations of practicability. As Leslie, Teitlebaum,
and Anderson stated in Dollar Unit Sampling (Copp,
Clark, Pitman, 1979): “Generally, the auditor should
choose the (sampling) unit that can be most economically
verified to yield persuasive evidence” (p. 154). The
basic decision in a test of accounts receivable is whether
to sample at the customer account level or at the open invoice
level. The following are key considerations in arriving
at a choice of sampling unit for a test of the existence
assertion.
Accounts.
Choosing the account to be the sampling unit is preferable
for consumer accounts, such as credit cards. In this case,
the auditor is directly confirming the net balance in a
selected account. Commercial accounts, on the other hand,
tend to be maintained on vouchers payable systems. Commercial
customers may have difficulty confirming account balances.
In its recommendation, the ASB raised the following questions:
If
an unanswered confirmation request has an accounts receivable
balance consisting of ten unpaid invoices, and the auditor
performs satisfactory alternative procedures on only two
of the ten invoices, how should the results be evaluated?
Must the auditor reach a conclusion regarding every invoice
in the sample? If they do not, may they assume that the
entire balance is incorrect? (Auditing Standards Board
Approved Highlights, April 8–9, 2003, Conference
Call Meeting)
An
auditor need not reach a conclusion regarding every invoice.
If an auditor performs procedures on invoices within accounts,
then she is performing tests on a two-stage sample, which
should be evaluated as such. The problem with two-stage
sampling is computational, especially if no misstatement
is found in the second (invoice-level) stage sampling units.
Failure to properly consider the contribution of the second
stage to sampling risk understates the risk associated with
the projected misstatement. For this reason, an auditor
should strongly consider choosing the open invoice as the
sampling unit.
Open
invoices. This is the preferred approach if
a company has a file of open invoices that can be directly
accessed. Because open invoices comprise only debits to
accounts receivable, the auditor must apply a separate test
procedure for credits to accounts, especially a test for
the completeness of the credits.
Because
many businesses record their purchases in a vouchers payable
system, they find it easier to confirm individual invoices
than account balances, thus raising the likelihood of a
response to a confirmation request. This choice of sampling
unit may be applied with either equal probability (such
as simple random sampling) or with probability proportional
to size (dollar-unit sampling). Taking this approach renders
moot the questions raised by the ASB’s recommendation
above, because the sampling unit is the invoice.
Invoice
line items. Dollar-unit sampling enables an
auditor to choose an invoice line item as the sampling unit.
This is an approach Leslie, Teitlebaum, and Anderson called
subsampling. Typically, a computer program identifies the
invoice and the dollar within the invoice in which the selected
line item is located. The auditor generally identifies the
line item by manually footing the invoice until he locates
the selected item. The auditor only has to vouch that item,
and every other selected line item in the sample. In dollar-unit
sampling, the auditor projects the results associated with
the selected line items by using the total book value of
the frame as the representation of the frame size.
Because
the frame is a representation of the population, it should
be complete. That is, every sampling unit in the population
should be included in the frame. The converse need not be
true, however, as discussed below.
Overspecified
Frames
If
there are units in the frame that do not contain members
of the population, they are not applicable to the conclusion
that the auditor wishes to draw; they are irrelevant. Suppose,
for example, selection of a random sample of sales invoices
by invoice number in a substantive test yielded some invoices
that had been voided or never used. If the auditor were
testing for misstatement, then those voided invoices would
have no misstatement. That is, the misstatement amount in
each of the voided vouchers would be $0 for the purpose
of obtaining a projection of the total amount of misstatement
in the population of cash disbursements. Similarly, in the
previously described frame of location-days, if there were
no transactions at some location-days, no misstatement could
exist therein.
To
see why this is true, it is convenient to think in terms
of performing a census, instead of a sample. The auditor
views the test procedure as though every item in the frame
were to be examined. In a census, the auditor simply totals
the test results; there is no projection to be performed.
By assigning a misstatement of zero to those frame members
that are not population members, the correct population
total misstatement is obtained. The oval area in Exhibit
1 represents the relevant portion of the frame, that
is, the population. The figure shows that every member of
the population is included in the frame.
A random
sample selected from the frame will also yield a random
sample of the population. The expected number of selections
that belong to the population will be proportional to the
population size vis-à-vis the frame size. An auditor
will define a frame to be larger than, and inclusive of,
the population when the exact size of the population is
unknown (for example, a printed journal in which the number
of entries per page varies). Even if the selection results
in extraneous items, the sample projections to the frame
will yield valid and unbiased projections of its subsumed
population, although some efficiency may be lost as a consequence
of the auditor’s selecting more items than are relevant
to the examination. The converse, however, is not true,
as discussed below.
Underspecified
or Incomplete Frames
As
stated above, when planning a sampling procedure, it is
important to establish that every item in the population
is included in the frame. If a frame is not complete, then
some members of the population of interest to the auditor
will have no chance of being included in the sample. This
is a violation of AU 350’s requirement for representativeness,
which requires that every item in the population under examination
must have a chance of being selected. An incomplete frame
can lead to biased estimates of the population value that
is under examination if the auditor is not careful to distinguish
between the size of the population and the size of the frame
on which the selection of the sample was performed.
To
see why this is true, consider again the taking of a census
from an incomplete frame. Only those members of the population
that are included in the frame will be totaled, understating
the true population total. In Exhibit
2, the population is indicated by the oval, but only
the rectangular portion is included in the frame. In this
case, a random sample of the frame will not yield a random
sample of the population, because elements of the population
with no sampling units in the frame will have no chance
of being selected.
When
an auditor projects the results of an audit sample, it is
the frame size that forms the basis for that projection,
not the population size. Testing for completeness of a frame
is problematic, and frequently depends on the auditor’s
assessment of the company’s ability to maintain adequate
documentation.
A
Need for Improvement
Several
modifications to SAS 39 are long overdue, but the ASB’s
decision at its April 2003 meeting is the wrong one. Tinkering
with questions about the choice of sampling unit suggests
that the ASB does not understand the sampling basis for
the issue it has raised. Such a misunderstanding is likely
to result only in poor and confusing guidance.
The
best way to improve practice in auditing testing is for
the AICPA to revise its audit practice guide, Audit Sampling,
which does not address the ASB’s current concerns,
to include extensive material on this aspect of sampling.
In addition, auditors should restore education and training
in audit sampling techniques, especially statistical sampling.
Neal
B. Hitzig, PhD, CPA, is a professor of accounting
and information systems at Queens College (CUNY) and a member
of the Auditing Standards and Procedures Committee of the
NYSSCPA. He is a retired partner of Ernst & Young. |